Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -1000 EKU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -14.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -12.9 (-6.9) | 140.1 (+11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.6 (-6.6) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -13.0 (-7.0) | 140.7 (+11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.2 (-6.2) | 140.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | LIB 83 – 73 EKU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | EKU 62 – 59 LIB |
| Feb 6, 2022 | LIB 91 – 84 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#52) | -0.9 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#64) | 0.50 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#63) | 0.29 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#26) | 0.537 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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