Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -2.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.6 (-0.4) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.3 (+0.3) | 142.9 (+14.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.8 (-0.2) | 143.3 (+13.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.4 (+0.4) | 142.2 (+14.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Jan 2, 2022 | ORE 79 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#109) | 9.9 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#178) | 1.75 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#154) | 2.35 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#199) | 0.584 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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