Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -3.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.2 (+9.8) | 141.5 (+3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.3 (+10.7) | 145.9 (-0.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.4 (+10.6) | 145.6 (-0.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.2 (+10.8) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | 6.2 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#125) | 0.83 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#98) | 1.06 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#112) | 0.571 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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