Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -275 ORE +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -10.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -8.5 (-5.5) | 150.5 (+6.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -10.2 (-7.2) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -10.0 (-7.0) | 149.9 (+7.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.5 (-7.5) | 150.4 (+6.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 2, 2022 | ORE 79 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#15) | 8.3 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#44) | 1.95 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#44) | 2.18 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#38) | 0.595 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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