Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -200 ORE +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -8.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -5.3 (-15.3) | 136.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.7 (-16.7) | 134.8 (-4.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.7 (-16.7) | 135.0 (-5.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -6.4 (-16.4) | 134.8 (-4.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 2, 2022 | ORE 79 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#29) | 7.1 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#67) | 0.83 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#67) | 1.27 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#103) | 0.540 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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