Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -213 UTAH +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -1.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.8 (+8.2) | 136.8 (-12.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.2 (+9.8) | 138.6 (-14.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.9 (+10.1) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.9 (+10.1) | 137.7 (-13.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | ORE 66 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 2, 2022 | ORE 79 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#58) | 11.2 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#81) | 1.24 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#75) | 1.59 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#87) | 0.536 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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