Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -200 UTAH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -0.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.4 (-0.4) | 149.6 (-18.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.5 (-0.5) | 150.4 (-19.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.7 (-0.7) | 152.0 (-21.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.0 (-0.0) | 152.4 (-21.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2024 | UTAH 80 – 77 ORE |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORE 68 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2023 | ORE 70 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2022 | ORE 80 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 2, 2022 | ORE 79 – 66 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#67) | 12.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#71) | 1.44 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#71) | 1.73 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#81) | 0.559 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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