Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +12 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -1.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -0.6 (-11.4) | 136.6 (-6.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -1.2 (-10.8) | 139.8 (-9.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -1.2 (-10.8) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -1.8 (-10.2) | 137.7 (-7.7) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#236) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#258) | 0.53 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#255) | 0.47 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#283) | 0.524 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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