Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -11.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -10.5 (+1.5) | 149.2 (-19.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -10.5 (+1.5) | 145.1 (-15.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -9.5 (+2.5) | 148.8 (-18.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -10.1 (+1.9) | 149.7 (-19.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MINN 72 – 67 IOWA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IOWA 90 – 85 MINN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | IOWA 68 – 56 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#18) | 5.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#45) | 1.63 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#37) | 1.94 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#63) | 0.574 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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