Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -400 MINN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -11.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -10.6 (-15.6) | 151.6 (-12.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -10.3 (-15.3) | 151.1 (-12.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -10.9 (-15.9) | 153.7 (-14.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -10.7 (-15.7) | 155.1 (-16.1) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IOWA 90 – 85 MINN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | IOWA 68 – 56 MINN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | IOWA 71 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#49) | 3.4 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#47) | 0.60 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#45) | 1.04 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#56) | 0.517 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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