Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +550 IOWA -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -11.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -11.4 (-0.6) | 147.6 (-23.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -12.4 (+0.4) | 145.5 (-21.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -11.0 (-1.0) | 147.2 (-23.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -10.8 (-1.2) | 147.4 (-23.4) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MINN 72 – 67 IOWA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IOWA 90 – 85 MINN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | IOWA 71 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-11 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#233) | 11.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#225) | 1.82 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#240) | 2.31 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#265) | 0.566 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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