Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -333 MINN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -6.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -5.7 (-0.7) | 152.2 (+22.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -5.2 (-0.2) | 148.2 (+26.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -5.1 (-0.1) | 149.8 (+25.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -5.2 (-0.2) | 152.6 (+22.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MINN 72 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | IOWA 68 – 56 MINN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | IOWA 71 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#47) | 7.8 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#87) | 1.15 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#70) | 1.63 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#110) | 0.515 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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