Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -170 DETM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -2.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.2 (-9.2) | 134.6 (+7.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.0 (-9.0) | 136.3 (+5.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -3.0 (-9.0) | 136.3 (+5.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -2.7 (-8.7) | 136.1 (+5.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#246) | -3.7 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#239) | -1.28 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#253) | -1.47 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#246) | 0.464 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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