Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -1400 DETM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +24 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -10.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+38.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -10.3 (+13.7) | 143.5 (+30.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -10.2 (+13.8) | 142.6 (+31.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -9.8 (+14.2) | 140.9 (+33.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -10.1 (+13.9) | 142.3 (+31.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NKU 79 – 67 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#234) | -11.3 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#205) | -1.70 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#209) | -2.20 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#181) | 0.425 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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