Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -1200 DETM +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -17.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -13.7 (-1.7) | 146.4 (-0.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -12.5 (-0.5) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -13.9 (-1.9) | 143.2 (+2.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -13.8 (-1.8) | 144.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-3 | 1-11 |
| Away | 6-11 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#193) | -15.7 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#216) | -4.71 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#206) | -6.08 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#208) | 0.373 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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