Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +220 NKU -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -4.4 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.8 (+16.8) | 157.0 (+10.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.7 (+16.7) | 154.9 (+12.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -3.2 (+16.2) | 154.8 (+12.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.1 (+16.1) | 157.4 (+9.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NKU 79 – 67 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#283) | -0.1 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#266) | -0.06 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#264) | -0.14 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#262) | 0.487 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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