Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -6.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -3.9 (+4.1) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.5 (+3.5) | 138.3 (-0.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.4 (+3.6) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.0 (+4.0) | 139.0 (-1.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#293) | -11.0 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#310) | -2.14 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#295) | -2.14 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#322) | 0.402 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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