Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +500 PRIN -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +22 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -11.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -11.0 (-11.0) | 152.9 (-4.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -11.5 (-10.5) | 156.9 (-8.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -11.9 (-10.1) | 157.2 (-9.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -12.1 (-9.9) | 155.7 (-7.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 12-2 |
| Home | 3-10 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#346) | 0.7 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#347) | 0.73 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#347) | 0.63 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#354) | 0.511 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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