Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +175 PRIN -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -1.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -2.8 (-2.2) | 145.5 (-4.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -1.5 (-3.5) | 146.6 (-5.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -1.4 (-3.6) | 146.5 (-5.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -1.3 (-3.7) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PRIN 70 – 62 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#267) | -1.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#249) | 0.45 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#265) | 0.03 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#277) | 0.539 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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