Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -300 COLU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -6.0 (-2.0) | 150.6 (-12.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -5.2 (-1.2) | 151.7 (-13.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.8 (-1.8) | 151.1 (-13.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -6.9 (-2.9) | 152.8 (-14.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PRIN 70 – 62 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 1-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | -1.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#86) | 0.20 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | -0.01 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#72) | 0.486 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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