Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -105 COLU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -0.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -1.0 (-11.0) | 138.0 (+2.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -0.5 (-10.5) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -0.2 (-10.2) | 138.3 (+1.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -0.1 (-9.9) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PRIN 70 – 62 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#229) | -0.6 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#257) | -0.10 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#242) | -0.48 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#248) | 0.515 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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