Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -900 COLU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -14.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -13.7 (+0.3) | 141.8 (+12.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -14.9 (-0.9) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -13.0 (+1.0) | 142.1 (+11.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -13.4 (+0.6) | 142.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PRIN 70 – 62 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#69) | -2.6 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#20) | -0.59 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#29) | -0.53 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#14) | 0.464 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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