Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -2.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -1.5 (+4.5) | 139.5 (-5.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -1.7 (+4.3) | 140.5 (-6.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -1.6 (+4.4) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -1.5 (+4.5) | 141.9 (-7.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PAC 92 – 59 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2026 | PAC 74 – 69 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2025 | PEPP 60 – 44 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PEPP 87 – 70 PAC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | PEPP 102 – 43 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-13 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#290) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#297) | -1.48 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#282) | -1.79 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#305) | 0.398 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.