Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -500 PAC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +59 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -11.7 (+47.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -13.2 (+45.8) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -8.8 (+50.2) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -10.5 (+48.5) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -13.9 (+45.1) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PAC 92 – 59 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2026 | PAC 74 – 69 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2025 | PEPP 60 – 44 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PEPP 87 – 70 PAC |
| Feb 22, 2024 | PEPP 89 – 70 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 0-16 |
| Home | 9-8 | 5-12 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#236) | -15.5 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#264) | -2.35 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#242) | -3.08 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#272) | 0.389 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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