Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +240 PEPP -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +19 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -7.8 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -8.3 (-10.7) | 148.4 (+10.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -8.1 (-10.9) | 146.0 (+13.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -7.4 (-11.6) | 147.8 (+11.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -7.3 (-11.7) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PAC 92 – 59 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2026 | PAC 74 – 69 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2025 | PEPP 60 – 44 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PEPP 87 – 70 PAC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | PEPP 102 – 43 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 0-16 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-12 | 9-8 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L23 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#351) | -3.6 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#337) | -0.88 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#340) | -0.81 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#342) | 0.450 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 26.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 18.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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