Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -200 HARV +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -3.4 (-0.4) | 142.5 (-29.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -4.8 (-1.8) | 144.3 (-31.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.8 (-1.8) | 143.5 (-30.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -4.6 (-1.6) | 146.6 (-33.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#148) | -1.0 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#145) | -0.48 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#136) | -0.56 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.472 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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