Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +9 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -2.5 (+6.5) | 131.4 (-12.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.6 (+7.4) | 135.6 (-16.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.9 (+8.1) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.6 (+7.4) | 135.6 (-16.6) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#55) | 11.2 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#81) | 1.89 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#75) | 2.69 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#71) | 0.557 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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