Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | OU -800 OKST +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OU -14.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -12.3 (-8.3) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -11.2 (-7.2) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -11.8 (-7.8) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -11.6 (-7.6) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | OKST 71 – 61 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#20) | 3.4 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#31) | -0.02 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#28) | 0.24 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#45) | 0.479 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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