Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +130 OU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -3.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.6 (-12.6) | 159.7 (+1.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -5.3 (-14.3) | 157.5 (+3.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -4.8 (-13.8) | 156.2 (+4.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -3.2 (-12.2) | 159.6 (+1.4) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | OKST 71 – 61 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#40) | 8.7 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#15) | 1.85 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.68 (#17) | 2.77 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#27) | 0.550 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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