Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | OU -175 OKST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -2.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -2.2 (-12.2) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -2.3 (-12.3) | 132.5 (-0.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.6 (-12.6) | 133.9 (-1.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -2.1 (-12.1) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#46) | 11.3 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#54) | 1.50 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#41) | 2.18 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#62) | 0.563 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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