Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | OU -185 OKST +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OU -5.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -4.8 (+10.2) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -5.3 (+9.7) | 149.4 (-4.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -5.9 (+9.1) | 150.6 (-5.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -4.7 (+10.3) | 151.2 (-6.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OKST 57 – 49 OU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | OKST 71 – 61 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#55) | 4.9 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#10) | 0.92 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.03 (#9) | 1.29 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#75) | 0.543 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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