Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +110 OU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +8 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.0 (+7.0) | 134.7 (-28.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -1.5 (+6.5) | 134.0 (-28.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.3 (+6.7) | 137.6 (-31.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.2 (+6.8) | 139.1 (-33.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | OU 85 – 76 OKST |
| Dec 15, 2024 | OU 80 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OU 84 – 82 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | OU 66 – 62 OKST |
| Feb 2, 2023 | OKST 71 – 61 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#38) | 9.1 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#48) | 1.59 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#41) | 2.28 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#90) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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