And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · February 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -7.0 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual TENN +24 138 Lost
Massey TENN -8.6 (-15.4) — —
Massey Totals — 136.1 (+1.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TENN -8.1 (-15.9) 137.2 (+0.8) 25% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -5.4 (-18.6) 137.5 (+0.5) 31% ✓
Baseline ML TENN -5.5 (-18.5) 136.5 (+1.5) 35% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TENN -6.0 (-18.0) 137.8 (+0.2) 31% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 TENN 78 – 59 SC
Mar 8, 2025 TENN 75 – 65 SC
Mar 7, 2024 TENN 66 – 59 SC
Jan 30, 2024 SC 63 – 59 TENN
Feb 25, 2023 TENN 85 – 45 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC TENN
Overall 18-13 27-8
Conference 9-9 14-4
Home 12-4 16-0
Away 4-7 6-5
Neutral 2-2 5-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 73.5
Avg Pts Against 70.9 62.9
Massey 5.4 (#96) 17.2 (#13)
Bradley-Terry 1.36 (#75) 2.66 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.34 (#97) 3.38 (#20)
RPI 0.569 (#67) 0.619 (#22)
Shooting & Four Factors SC TENN
FG% 42.2% 43.7%
3PT% 32.0% 33.5%
REB / G 37.9 36.6
OREB / G 12.9 12.3
AST / TO 0.82 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 51.0%
TOV% 21.5% 18.5%
ORB% 34.3% 33.4%
FT Rate 19.4% 18.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 22.3% 25.1%
DRB% 67.7% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 30.3% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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