Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SC +210 TENN -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -7.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.9 (-3.1) | 139.4 (-14.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.0 (-3.0) | 139.5 (-14.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.1 (-2.9) | 139.4 (-14.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.2 (-2.8) | 140.0 (-15.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | TENN 78 – 59 SC |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TENN 75 – 65 SC |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SC 63 – 59 TENN |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TENN 85 – 45 SC |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TENN 85 – 42 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#59) | 19.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#5) | 3.07 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#7) | 3.83 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#29) | 0.645 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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