Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -1400 SC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -13.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.1 (-18.1) | 140.3 (-18.3) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.2 (-15.2) | 138.3 (-16.3) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.0 (-15.0) | 139.0 (-17.0) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -11.1 (-15.1) | 139.1 (-17.1) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | TENN 78 – 59 SC |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TENN 75 – 65 SC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TENN 66 – 59 SC |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TENN 85 – 45 SC |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TENN 85 – 42 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#9) | 8.6 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#5) | 2.70 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#5) | 3.19 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#2) | 0.598 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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