The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · March 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -10.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money SC +455 / TENN -625
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual TENN +19 137 Lost
Massey TENN -10.6 (-8.4)
Massey Totals 142.4 (-5.4)
Bradley-Terry 13%
Weighted B-T 10%
Efficiency Plus ML TENN -9.2 (-9.8) 144.0 (-7.0) 15%
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -8.1 (-10.9) 140.6 (-3.6) 19%
Baseline ML TENN -8.0 (-11.0) 141.9 (-4.9) 20%
Baseline Plus ML TENN -9.9 (-9.1) 143.8 (-6.8) 18%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2025 TENN 7565 SC
Mar 7, 2024 TENN 6659 SC
Jan 30, 2024 SC 6359 TENN
Feb 25, 2023 TENN 8545 SC
Jan 7, 2023 TENN 8542 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC TENN
Overall 13-19 25-12
Conference 4-14 11-7
Home 11-8 14-3
Away 2-8 5-5
Neutral 0-3 6-4
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 78.8
Avg Pts Against 76.5 69.6
Massey 5.5 (#99) 19.1 (#18)
Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#124) 2.84 (#24)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.01 (#99) 3.83 (#22)
RPI 0.479 (#231) 0.594 (#33)
Shooting & Four Factors SC TENN
FG% 43.8% 46.5%
3PT% 30.7% 34.3%
REB / G 32.8 43.0
OREB / G 9.1 16.1
AST / TO 1.37 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 52.0%
TOV% 14.1% 17.8%
ORB% 26.6% 45.5%
FT Rate 29.2% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 16.3%
DRB% 67.6% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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