I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Southeastern Conference · Food City Center · March 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -15.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money TENN -2500 / SC +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +10 140 Won
Massey TENN -17.8 (-7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 125.2 (+14.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TENN -14.6 (-4.6) 137.2 (+2.8) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TENN -14.5 (-4.5) 137.6 (+2.4) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -15.0 (-5.0) 135.6 (+4.4) 87% ✓
Baseline ML TENN -15.7 (-5.7) 135.7 (+4.3) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 TENN 78 – 59 SC
Mar 7, 2024 TENN 66 – 59 SC
Jan 30, 2024 SC 63 – 59 TENN
Feb 25, 2023 TENN 85 – 45 SC
Jan 7, 2023 TENN 85 – 42 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN SC
Overall 30-8 12-20
Conference 12-6 2-16
Home 16-1 10-8
Away 6-5 1-10
Neutral 8-2 1-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 74.0 69.8
Avg Pts Against 63.1 71.4
Massey 21.8 (#6) 7.3 (#78)
Bradley-Terry 4.08 (#3) 1.18 (#82)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.22 (#3) 1.77 (#72)
RPI 0.649 (#4) 0.518 (#150)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN SC
FG% 45.1% 43.1%
3PT% 34.7% 32.0%
REB / G 37.4 34.4
OREB / G 11.7 10.0
AST / TO 1.47 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 49.2%
TOV% 16.3% 18.5%
ORB% 35.7% 30.2%
FT Rate 24.6% 31.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.1% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 15.7%
DRB% 70.6% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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