Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -10000 SC +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +40 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -26.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -23.9 (+16.1) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -18.8 (+21.2) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -20.7 (+19.3) | 133.1 (-3.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -23.0 (+17.0) | 134.5 (-4.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | TENN 78 – 59 SC |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TENN 75 – 65 SC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TENN 66 – 59 SC |
| Jan 30, 2024 | SC 63 – 59 TENN |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TENN 85 – 42 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#3) | -3.8 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#18) | -0.09 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#16) | -0.36 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#17) | 0.480 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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