Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -4.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.3 (+6.7) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -4.2 (+6.8) | 137.8 (-4.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -4.2 (+6.8) | 139.5 (-6.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -3.9 (+7.1) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 61.2 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#51) | 9.1 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#68) | 1.34 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#77) | 1.81 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#58) | 0.555 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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