Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -320 SLU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -6.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -6.7 (+1.3) | 144.7 (-2.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -7.8 (+0.2) | 147.7 (-5.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -7.0 (+1.0) | 145.6 (-3.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -6.4 (+1.6) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DAY 100 – 83 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#79) | 3.9 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#73) | 0.66 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#72) | 0.88 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#53) | 0.545 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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