Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SLU +333 DAY -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +17 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -11.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -10.7 (-6.3) | 149.8 (+33.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -11.1 (-5.9) | 148.5 (+34.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -10.0 (-7.0) | 150.9 (+32.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -11.1 (-5.9) | 147.7 (+35.3) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-8 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#214) | 12.3 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#174) | 2.34 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#176) | 2.87 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#193) | 0.636 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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