Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -218 DAY +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -8.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -5.0 (-6.0) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.8 (-5.8) | 143.0 (-4.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -6.1 (-7.1) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -5.7 (-6.7) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DAY 100 – 83 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#28) | 7.4 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#35) | 1.51 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#41) | 1.95 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#21) | 0.574 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 35.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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