Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | DAY +154 SLU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -9.4 (+24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -5.6 (+20.6) | 152.0 (-13.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.9 (+19.9) | 151.4 (-12.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -6.3 (+21.3) | 151.0 (-12.0) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -6.6 (+21.6) | 151.5 (-12.5) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DAY 100 – 83 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 19-0 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#93) | 18.7 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#78) | 2.90 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#77) | 3.88 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#55) | 0.622 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 60.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 35.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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