Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -135 DAY +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -1.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.1 (-8.1) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -0.5 (-7.5) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.3 (-8.3) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -0.2 (-8.2) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DAY 100 – 83 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#116) | 7.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#118) | 1.25 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#103) | 1.74 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#96) | 0.560 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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