Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -575 DAY +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +31 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -15.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -15.1 (+15.9) | 150.8 (+22.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -12.6 (+18.4) | 149.9 (+23.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -13.9 (+17.1) | 148.2 (+24.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -14.6 (+16.4) | 148.2 (+24.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DAY 100 – 83 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 19-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#21) | 6.4 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#18) | 0.78 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.68 (#13) | 1.06 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#25) | 0.541 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 35.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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