Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -3.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -4.5 (-1.5) | 137.2 (+16.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -3.1 (-2.9) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -3.0 (-3.0) | 140.8 (+13.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -3.9 (-2.1) | 140.0 (+14.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#303) | -1.5 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#306) | -0.51 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#319) | -0.60 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#313) | 0.468 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.