Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -140 BU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +11 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -4.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.7 (-12.7) | 131.6 (+15.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.7 (-12.7) | 129.8 (+17.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -2.3 (-13.3) | 129.9 (+17.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.0 (-13.0) | 132.7 (+14.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LEH 84 – 79 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#283) | -8.4 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#312) | -1.16 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#307) | -1.55 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#297) | 0.454 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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