Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BU +100 LEH -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -0.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -0.5 (-5.5) | 136.9 (+26.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.4 (-4.6) | 138.8 (+24.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -0.6 (-5.6) | 139.2 (+23.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -0.9 (-5.9) | 138.1 (+24.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#285) | -4.4 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#303) | -1.77 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#298) | -1.71 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#275) | 0.456 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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