Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +120 BU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -0.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.7 (+12.3) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -0.3 (+14.3) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.6 (+12.4) | 145.6 (-11.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.0 (+13.0) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LEH 84 – 79 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#290) | -5.2 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#272) | -1.15 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#295) | -1.69 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#237) | 0.455 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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