Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | BU -195 LEH +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BU -3.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -1.8 (+3.2) | 131.5 (-10.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -2.1 (+2.9) | 129.0 (-8.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -1.2 (+3.8) | 130.3 (-9.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -2.0 (+3.0) | 132.2 (-11.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LEH 84 – 79 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#295) | -7.3 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#261) | -0.99 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#274) | -1.62 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.455 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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